Showing posts with label Rule of 72. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rule of 72. Show all posts

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Practical Guide to Financial Freedom

Introduction

Financial freedom is not just a dream; it’s a journey that begins with understanding and taking the right steps. For high school and college students, this journey is especially crucial as it sets the foundation for a secure financial future. This short guide will walk you through the essential steps to achieve financial independence.

(Prefer audio? Find the audio summary at the end of this post.)

1. Pick the Right Field of Work

Ikigai is a Japanese concept that means “a reason for being.” It’s about finding joy, fulfillment, and balance in the activities that make up our daily lives. Finding your Ikigai is about aligning your passion, profession, vocation, and mission. It’s a delicate balance that, when achieved, can lead to immense personal and financial rewards. Consider these questions:

  • What do I love? What subjects or activities make you lose track of time?

  • What am I good at? What are the skills for which others often seek your help?

  • What can I be paid for? What jobs are available that align with your interests and skills?

  • What does the world need? How can your work contribute to society?

Combining these elements will lead you to a career that not only pays well but also brings satisfaction and a sense of purpose. Research industries and job markets to understand where your Ikigai may lie. Seek internships and part-time jobs in areas of interest to gain experience and insight.

2. Save 10%-20% of Your Net Income

The golden rule of personal finance is to pay yourself first. Before spending on anything else, set aside 10% to 20% of your net income. This habit ensures that you’re consistently saving for your future. To make it easier, automate your savings so that a portion of your income goes directly into your savings and investment accounts. I like to think of it as paying a monthly subscription fee to my future self, that will pay me back 2, 3, 4 or even 8 times the fee and provide financial freedom!

Saving is a habit that builds discipline and provides a safety net for future financial endeavors. By saving a portion of your income, you’re ensuring that you always have funds set aside for emergencies, opportunities, and investments. When you are just starting your first full-time job, you may start by saving 10% and gradually increase it to 20% (or more!) as your income grows. You can use this spreadsheet to track your expenses and savings. It has categories for must-haves (needs) and fun things (wants). It has a column for monthly goals and also provides a monthly summary to track your progress. You can tailor it to suit your needs.

3. Contribute to 401(k) or IRA and Make it Automatic

Retirement may seem far away, but the earlier you start saving, the better. If your employer offers a 401(k) plan, contribute enough to get the full match; it’s free money. If they don’t, open an Individual Retirement Account (IRA) and contribute regularly. These accounts offer tax advantages that help your savings grow more efficiently.

Retirement accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs are powerful tools for building wealth over time. They offer tax benefits that can significantly enhance your savings. Here’s why starting early matters:

  • The power of compound interest means the earlier you start, the more you’ll have.

  • Automatic contributions ensure you’re consistently saving without having to think about it.

  • Over time, the tax-deferred growth can lead to substantial tax saving.

Also see: The Automatic Investing Revolution


4. Invest in Low-Cost Index Funds or ETFs

Investing is how you turn your savings into wealth. Index funds and Index Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are excellent options for just about everyone thanks to their low costs and diversified portfolios. The key is to invest for the long term. Resist the urge to sell when the market dips; those who stay invested are more likely to see their investments recover and grow over time.

When investing, remember to:

  • Start with at least 10% of net income and increase it as your income grows.

  • Avoid timing the market and stay invested through market ups and downs; consistent long-term investing is key.

  • As you approach your 50s, adjust your asset allocation and rebalance once a year if necessary.

Conclusion

Achieving financial freedom is a disciplined process that requires patience and persistence. By following these steps, you’re not just preparing for a comfortable retirement; you’re setting yourself up for a life where financial stress is not a constant burden. Start today, and watch your efforts compound into lasting financial well-being.

The key is to begin, savor the early successes, and then stay the course, allowing the power of compounding to work its wonders.

Q & A

Here are the answers to some of the common questions.


Q: These steps sound simple. So, why do half of families in the United States have no retirement savings? A: The steps may be simple but they are not easy. When you are young, retirement seems like a remote event. Instant gratification often trumps long-term thinking. Retirement planning, saving and investing don’t seem important until it's too late. In most states in the U.S., personal finance courses in school are not required. Some people lack the knowledge and motivation and are too overwhelmed to take the first step even though most of them are on their own with no pensions and inadequate social security. Also, during your 20s and 30s (when you should ideally start saving for retirement), other obligations such as student loan payments, a down payment for a home, children and family related expenses make it difficult to start saving and investing.

Q: How do I find a field of work that aligns with my Ikigai? A: Start by exploring your interests and strengths. Volunteer, intern, or work part-time in various fields to gain experience. For example, if you love technology, enjoy tackling tough problems or solving logic or math puzzles and have a knack for coding, consider a career in software development or a related field. If you are passionate about physical or mental health and love to help people, explore health related fields. Or one or more of these 20 occupations with high projected growth may spark your interest. It is also very important that you are always learning, no matter what field you choose. And, if you choose the field that you are passionate about, you will always be learning. Learning not only enhances your career but also promotes your overall wellbeing.

Q: What if my passion doesn’t pay well? A: Balance is key. You might have a passion that doesn’t pay well initially. In such cases, you can pursue it as a side project while working in a related field that does pay. Over time, you may find ways to monetize your passion or transition into it full-time. BLS is a good source of information about the outlook for various occupations. Here are the 20 occupations with the highest projected percent change of employment between 2022-32.

Q: Can you recommend some books that can help me learn about personal finance and investing? A: To get started on your investing journey, here are a few books that I would recommend:

  1. The Millionaire Next Door by Thomas Stanley and William Danko

  2. The Little Book of Common Sense Investing by Jack Bogle

  3. I Will Teach You To Be Rich by Ramit Sethi

  4. A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton G. Malkiel

Q: How can I save money when I have student loans and other expenses? A: It’s about prioritizing your future self. Even if it’s just a small amount, saving consistently can make a big difference. For instance, if you save $100 a month starting at age 20, by age 65, you could have over $300,000, assuming a 7% annual return.

Q: Isn’t it better to pay off debt before saving? A: While paying off high-interest debt should be a priority, it’s also important to build the habit of saving. Even a small emergency fund can prevent you from going further into debt when unexpected expenses arise.

Q: Can I access my retirement funds before retirement? A: While it’s possible, it’s not advisable due to penalties and lost growth potential. For example, withdrawing $10,000 from your retirement account today could mean missing out on over $100,000 by the time you retire, assuming a 7% annual growth.

Q: Why choose index funds or index ETFs? A: Index funds and index ETFs provide diversification, which reduces risk. Also, due to their lower expense ratio, index funds perform better than 90% of actively managed funds over the long term. Instead of betting on specific companies, you’re investing in a broad market. For example, an S&P 500 index fund gives you a piece of the top 500 companies in the U.S. including the magnificent 7.

Q: I just started my first job earning a $40,000 annual salary which I expect to grow at 3% per year. I plan to save 12.5% of my income. What would be the value of my retirement account when I turn 65? A: Good plan! By the way, 12.5% is equivalent to 1 hour of your salary each day. This is a great start. You can increase it to 15%, 20% or even 25% as your income grows. For example, you may save half of your raises to increase savings, without compromising your lifestyle needs. At 12.5% saving rate, your account balance will be $1.6 million (see the breakdown in the table below).


Starting Age

25

Retirement Age

65

Annual Return (assumed)

7%

Starting Salary

$40,000

Annual Raise (assumed)

3%

% of Income Saved

12.5%

Total Saved

$393,316

Total Investment Returns

$1,194,771

Ending Balance

$1,588,087

% of Balance from Saving

25%

% of Balance from Investment Returns

75%



As you can see, 75% of the balance comes from investment returns. However, it requires you to save consistently and stay invested through the end, through market ups and downs. Note that the majority of the growth comes after you have built a large enough balance as you get closer to retirement age. For example, at 56, your account balance will be about $770,000 which more than doubles by the time you turn 65 (in the last 9 years)! So, again, saving consistently and staying the course all the way to retirement is key.

Note: You can use this spreadsheet to calculate your projected account balance based on your own data (make a copy to make it editable).


Feel free to post below any additional questions you may have.


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.



Audio Summary created using Google NotebookLM


Saturday, July 2, 2022

Asset Allocation, Dollar Cost Averaging and Rebalancing - The Ultimate “Antifragile” Investment Strategy?

Antifragile, a book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, reveals how some systems thrive from shocks, volatility and uncertainty, instead of breaking from them, and how you can adapt more antifragile traits yourself to thrive in an uncertain and chaotic world.

While reading the book, it occurred to me that using asset allocation, dollar cost averaging and periodic rebalancing may offer the ultimate “antifragile” investment strategy for long-term investors. It benefits from rising prices when the market is going up, takes advantage of lower prices when the market declines and at the same time reduces your portfolio risk.


The consensus among most financial professionals is that asset allocation is one of the most important decisions that investors make. For most individual investors, a simple 3-fund portfolio consisting of U.S. Stock Index, International Stock Index and Bond Index is the best way to invest in the market.


How much should you allocate to international stocks? The founder of Vanguard Group, the late Jack Bogle recommends allocating 20% of the equity portion of your portfolio to international stocks. For example, if your stock allocation is 70% (with 30% in bonds), then allocate 14% (20% of 70%) to international stocks and 56% (remaining 80% of 70%) to U.S. stocks.

Also see: Rethinking Global Exposure: How Much "International" Is Already in Your U.S. Stocks?


Once you have determined your asset allocation, rebalancing your portfolio once a year is a good practice. You can pick a date (such as your birthday or anniversary) to rebalance your portfolio.


There is another option recommended by some advisers. It involves rebalancing when asset classes deviate from their target by a certain absolute percentage. For example, if your target asset allocation is 60% equities and 40% fixed income and your absolute rebalancing threshold is +/- 5%, you would rebalance your portfolio when your portfolio reaches (65% equities / 35% fixed income) or (55% equities / 45% fixed income). This is a fine strategy, but it requires active monitoring of your portfolio allocations.


Rebalancing helps you implement the “Buy Low - Sell High” strategy automatically, because it involves selling an asset class that has appreciated (or has not declined as much) and buying an asset class that has declined in value (or has not appreciated as much).


Note that selling an appreciated fund may trigger a tax bill unless you are careful. Start with tax-sheltered accounts - 401(k) and IRA - when rebalancing. See the link below for more tax-efficient rebalancing strategies.


So, what's the catch? This strategy sounds simple but may not be easy for some. It requires a good understanding of the stock market and its history, knowing yourself (your risk tolerance and capacity), discipline to save and invest and stay invested through all market phases with a cool head (which requires understanding of the market and its history) and abundant patience.


Related:


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Monday, April 20, 2020

Rule of 72 and Magic of Compounding

“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it, and he who doesn't, pays it.” – Attributed to Albert Einstein (although there is no evidence that he actually said it)

"Save and invest, for someday you’ll be 72." – Anonymous

Rule of 72 is a quick way to estimate the number of years it will take to double your investment at a given annual rate of return. It states that you divide 72 (hence the Rule of 72) by the rate, expressed as a percentage.

If you invest $1,000 today and earn 6% per year, it will take approximately 12 years to double your money to $2,000. You simply divide 72 by 6 and get the answer: 12 years.

Of course, you can use Excel or a financial calculator to get the exact number. However, you don’t always have access to these tools and the Rule of 72 gives the result that is close enough to make a quick decision.

Here are a few more examples:

Rate of Return

Years to double your money

Calculation

8%

9 years

72 / 8 = 9

9%

8 years

72 / 9 = 8

12%

6 years

72 / 12 = 6


The Rule of 72 is an extremely powerful tool that everyone should know. It is a simple but important tool especially for the younger members of our workforce who are just starting their career.


Now consider this. The average annual return of the S&P 500 Index since adopting 500 stocks into the index in 1957 through 2018 is roughly 8%. So, if you invest $10,000 in the S&P 500 Index fund today, with the long-term rate of return of 8%, the value of your investment will double to $20,000 in 9 years and it will continue to double every 9 years. The following table shows the value of your investment.

Number of Years

Value of $10,000 investment in S&P 500 Index Fund

0 years

$10,000

9 years

$20,000

18 years

$40,000

27 years

$80,000

36 years

$160,000


The Rule of 72 and the power of compounding is especially important to understand for young investors.


To illustrate, let us take a look at two individuals Ms. Start Early and Mr. Wait Longer. Ms. Early started investing 12.5% of her salary (including the employer match) in her employer’s 401(k) at the age of 25 when she got her first job that offered 401(k). Note that this translates to 1/8th or her first hour's salary each day! Her starting salary was $40,000 and it grew at 3% each year. Mr. Longer earned the same salary but waited 10 years before he started investing 12.5% of his salary. Both of them invested in the S&P 500 Index Fund (such as the one from Vanguard, Fidelity, or Schwab).


The following chart shows the estimated value of their 401(k) each year until they turn 60.

Estimated value of 401(k) through age 60
Ms. Early will have $1.4 million in her 401(k) whereas Mr. Longer will have a little over half as much ($760,000) – significantly less. This example illustrates the importance of starting to invest early and not waiting. Investing one hour of income each day over the first 10 years resulted in $651,034 additional wealth for Ms. Early. That is the magic of compounding!
If you double your savings rate to 25% (equivalent of 2 hours' salary per day), the value of your 401(k) will grow even faster. The following chart illustrates this.

As you can see from the chart above, doubling the saving rate to 25% will enable you to reach $1 million by age 50.

Of course, if your earnings are higher, you will be able to reach these goals much sooner. For example, if your starting salary is $60,000 and it grows annually at 3%, with a 12.5% saving rate, you will reach $1 million in your 401(k) by age 52. With a 25% saving rate, you will reach this goal by age 45.

Note that the above calculations and charts use the long-term historical stock market rate of return of 8%. Future rate of return may be different.

Here are some additional points to keep in mind.

  1. Invest in low-cost index funds (or equivalent ETFs) such as Total Stock Market Index (Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund) or S&P 500 (Vanguard 500 Index Fund).

  2. Stay the course in the good and bad markets to take advantage of dollar cost averaging. Remember that the stock market does not go up in a straight line, but in the past, it has always gone up over time. Time in the market beats timing the market.

  3. The rule can work against you if you borrow on credit cards and personal loans instead of investing.

Note: Technically the rule should be called the rule of 69 because mathematically this is the number that provides a more accurate estimate. However, in many cases 72 is easier to use when you are doing mental math! 72 is divisible by 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 9, 12, 18 and so on.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.