Showing posts with label international stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label international stocks. Show all posts

Monday, August 4, 2025

Rethinking Global Exposure: How Much "International" Is Already in Your U.S. Stocks?

If you invest in three broad index funds - say, one for U.S. stocks, one for foreign stocks, and one for U.S. bonds - you’ve already embraced simplicity and diversification. But here’s a twist: did you know that nearly 30-40% of the revenue generated by S&P 500 companies comes from outside the United States?

From tech giants like Apple and Microsoft selling to global markets, to industrial firms navigating international supply chains, many U.S.-listed companies are anything but domestically confined. This raises a question that savvy investors are starting to ask: Should you factor this foreign revenue as part of your international allocation?

Let’s unpack it.

🌍 The Hidden Global Footprint in U.S. Stocks

While your U.S. index fund (like one tracking the S&P 500) is based on domestic listings, the companies within it often operate on a global scale. For example:

  • Information Technology sector: ~59% of revenue from abroad

  • Materials: ~47%

  • Industrials: ~32%

  • Utilities: Just ~2%

Clearly, not all sectors are created equal when it comes to foreign exposure.

So what does this mean for your portfolio?

🔄 Should You Adjust Your Allocation?

Possibly. Imagine your target allocation is:

  • 60% U.S. stocks

  • 30% international stocks or 33.33% of total stocks (30%/90%)

  • 10% U.S. bonds

If 30% of your U.S. stock fund’s revenue comes from non-U.S. sources, your “real” international exposure might look like this:

  • Implicit exposure via U.S. stocks: 60% × 30% = 18%

  • Direct exposure from international fund: 30%

  • Total effective international exposure: 48%

This translates to an effective international exposure of 53% of your overall stock allocation (48%/90%). This may be in line with your goals or more than you intended.

As a point of comparison, the FTSE Global All Cap Index - covering approximately 7,400 companies across 47 countries - allocates around 58-60% to U.S. stocks, with the remaining 40-42% representing international equities, including both developed and emerging markets. If you consider the implicit exposure via U.S. stocks, the index's effective international exposure is 58-60%.

Some investors use this insight to adjust their direct international allocation, depending on their implicit exposure via U.S. stock funds.

🧮 Quick Tip to Rebalance

Here’s a fast method:

  1. Estimate your U.S. fund's foreign revenue share (e.g., 30%)

  2. Multiply that by its portfolio weight

  3. Add it to your direct international allocation

  4. Adjust to hit your desired global exposure

📌 Example: Let’s say that you have 60% of your portfolio in U.S. stocks and you want 30% international exposure. You already have 18% international exposure from U.S. stocks’ foreign revenue (60% × 30%). Then, you may only need 12% in direct international holdings. If you want 40% international exposure, you may need 22% in direct international holdings.

🧠 Why It’s Not a Perfect Substitute

Don’t ditch your international fund entirely. Revenue abroad doesn’t offer everything: foreign currency exposure, different regulatory environments, access to emerging markets, and local sector opportunities.

Think of your U.S. stocks as giving you indirect global participation - while your international fund adds true global diversity.


Bottom line: Use foreign revenue exposure as a tool for smarter allocation - but keep direct international investments for genuine global reach. It’s about refining your balance, not replacing it.


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.


Saturday, July 2, 2022

Asset Allocation, Dollar Cost Averaging and Rebalancing - The Ultimate “Antifragile” Investment Strategy?

Antifragile, a book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, reveals how some systems thrive from shocks, volatility and uncertainty, instead of breaking from them, and how you can adapt more antifragile traits yourself to thrive in an uncertain and chaotic world.

While reading the book, it occurred to me that using asset allocation, dollar cost averaging and periodic rebalancing may offer the ultimate “antifragile” investment strategy for long-term investors. It benefits from rising prices when the market is going up, takes advantage of lower prices when the market declines and at the same time reduces your portfolio risk.


The consensus among most financial professionals is that asset allocation is one of the most important decisions that investors make. For most individual investors, a simple 3-fund portfolio consisting of U.S. Stock Index, International Stock Index and Bond Index is the best way to invest in the market.


How much should you allocate to international stocks? The founder of Vanguard Group, the late Jack Bogle recommends allocating 20% of the equity portion of your portfolio to international stocks. For example, if your stock allocation is 70% (with 30% in bonds), then allocate 14% (20% of 70%) to international stocks and 56% (remaining 80% of 70%) to U.S. stocks.

Also see: Rethinking Global Exposure: How Much "International" Is Already in Your U.S. Stocks?


Once you have determined your asset allocation, rebalancing your portfolio once a year is a good practice. You can pick a date (such as your birthday or anniversary) to rebalance your portfolio.


There is another option recommended by some advisers. It involves rebalancing when asset classes deviate from their target by a certain absolute percentage. For example, if your target asset allocation is 60% equities and 40% fixed income and your absolute rebalancing threshold is +/- 5%, you would rebalance your portfolio when your portfolio reaches (65% equities / 35% fixed income) or (55% equities / 45% fixed income). This is a fine strategy, but it requires active monitoring of your portfolio allocations.


Rebalancing helps you implement the “Buy Low - Sell High” strategy automatically, because it involves selling an asset class that has appreciated (or has not declined as much) and buying an asset class that has declined in value (or has not appreciated as much).


Note that selling an appreciated fund may trigger a tax bill unless you are careful. Start with tax-sheltered accounts - 401(k) and IRA - when rebalancing. See the link below for more tax-efficient rebalancing strategies.


So, what's the catch? This strategy sounds simple but may not be easy for some. It requires a good understanding of the stock market and its history, knowing yourself (your risk tolerance and capacity), discipline to save and invest and stay invested through all market phases with a cool head (which requires understanding of the market and its history) and abundant patience.


Related:


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Saturday, August 14, 2021

Using Vanguard Investor Questionnaire to determine your asset allocation


As explained in the introduction to the Vanguard Investor Questionnaire: How you allocate your money among stocks, bonds, and short-term reserves may be the most important factor in determining the long-term return and volatility of your portfolio.

The Investor Questionnaire makes asset allocation suggestions based on your responses about your investment objectives, investing experience, time horizon, risk tolerance, and financial situation.


The following table contains sample responses for 4 different career and life phases. The second table shows allocation percentages suggested by the tool based on those responses.


#

Question

20s-40s Working

50s Working

Nearing Retirement

In retirement

1

I plan to begin taking money from my investments in . . .

More than 15 years

11-15 years

3-5 years

Less than 1 year

2

As I withdraw money from these investments, I plan to spend it over a period of . . .

More than 15 years

More than 15 years

More than 15 years

More than 15 years

3

When making a long-term investment, I plan to keep the money invested for . . .

More than 8 years

More than 8 years

More than 8 years

More than 8 years

4

From September 2008 through November 2008, stocks lost over 31%. If I owned a stock investment that lost about 31% in three months, I would . . .

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

5

Generally, I prefer an investment with little or no ups and downs in value, and I am willing to accept the lower returns these investments may make.

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

6

When the market goes down, I tend to sell some of my riskier investments and put money in safer investments.

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

7

Based only on a brief conversation with a friend, coworker, or relative, I would invest in a mutual fund.

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

I strongly disagree

8

From September 2008 through October 2008, bonds lost nearly 4%. If I owned a bond investment that lost almost 4% in two months, I would . . .

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

Hold on to the investment and sell nothing

9

The chart below shows the highest one-year loss and the highest one-year gain on three different hypothetical investments of $10,000. Given the potential gain or loss in any one year, I would invest my money in . . .

Investment B (gain $1,921; loss -$1,020)

Investment B (gain $1,921; loss -$1,020)

Investment B (gain $1,921; loss -$1,020)

Investment B (gain $1,921; loss -$1,020)

10

My current and future income sources (such as salary, Social Security, pension) are . . .

Very stable

Very stable

Stable

Stable

11

When it comes to investing in stock or bond mutual funds (or individual stocks or bonds), I would describe myself as . . .

Experienced

Experienced

Experienced

Experienced


Here are allocation percentages suggested by the tool, based on the responses above:


Suggested Allocation

20s-40s Working

50s Working

Nearing Retirement

In retirement

Stocks

100%

80%

70%

60%

Bonds

0%

20%

30%

40%


What about international stocks? How much should you allocate to international stocks? The founder of Vanguard Group, the late Jack Bogle recommends allocating 20% of the equity portion of your portfolio to international stocks. For example, if your stock allocation is 70% (with 30% in bonds), then allocate 14% (20% of 70%) to international stocks and 56% (remaining 80% of 70%) to U.S. stocks. In this case, your allocation will be:

U.S. Stocks:                 56%
International Stocks:    14%
Bonds:                          30%


Note that suggested allocation percentages above are based on the sample responses in the previous table and may be different based on the information about your specific investment objectives and experience, time horizon, risk tolerance, and financial situation. To get results that best suit your goals and needs, be honest and truthful when responding to the questions.


Related:


Disclaimer: This article is not intended to be investment advice. Consult a duly licensed professional for investment advice. The contents of this article are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, or legal advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.